Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1216.770907 1405.165814 1623.363464 1897.228733 2235.283826 2643.582430 3.181280e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 966.510258 1203.844077 1508.665724 1938.393743 2544.835118 3396.790637 4.736443e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 836.348716 1088.080475 1431.674195 1951.932984 2752.447935 3999.498711 6.233093e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 727.848830 978.474189 1336.829372 1910.811929 2858.441045 4470.182089 7.715398e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 665.104127 920.604759 1301.559664 1944.274582 3079.010385 5184.256956 9.974350e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 593.258198 838.624928 1215.807207 1877.224964 3106.337981 5548.707737 1.169953e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 537.757519 774.342889 1147.982518 1826.369726 3147.788349 5949.843120 1.375246e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 490.189415 717.042096 1083.709973 1769.903264 3163.577770 6299.258624 1.590808e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 474.178010 708.248997 1098.487509 1859.458169 3497.345874 7508.907998 2.171396e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 454.394340 690.883771 1095.797100 1914.318484 3770.104751 8687.934769 2.877921e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 436.698846 675.086535 1093.594194 1969.167160 4057.654402 10050.529461 3.861491e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 412.382662 645.517651 1062.649088 1958.709649 4182.857909 10989.365593 4.804016e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 393.758029 626.238997 1052.429396 1999.871356 4478.737450 12762.715774 6.756706e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 378.377048 611.661039 1050.188742 2060.746212 4858.633142 15175.593798 1.019063e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 359.571255 588.782421 1028.330508 2071.033629 5095.753138 17231.081048 1.452654e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 337.586129 558.071762 987.211012 2027.692996 5155.838818 18573.395097 1.909530e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 324.833101 543.785051 978.422347 2063.591031 5489.583518 21642.810361 3.046538e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 304.136948 512.553273 930.654293 1991.178118 5430.346648 22537.661910 3.868732e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 286.689640 486.470442 891.608742 1936.222383 5420.316922 23776.124436 5.150762e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 270.251093 461.299296 852.381016 1875.272079 5372.602172 24780.416067 6.763544e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 266.751388 461.603861 869.269407 1971.965959 5972.683481 31234.821063 1.692187e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 260.650300 456.148700 872.608002 2031.257562 6454.628488 37846.724113 4.666966e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 254.828524 450.808392 875.633937 2090.578479 6971.297551 46141.880277 1.985562e+07